LIVE · 03.49 WIB
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DXY 99.42 ▼ 0.18%
SPX 5,712.30 ▲ 0.42%
NDX 20,318.55 ▲ 0.61%
US10Y 4.27% ▼ 0.04%
US02Y 3.81% ▼ 0.02%
BTC $104,820 ▲ 1.84%
ETH $3,612 ▲ 2.21%
GOLD $2,418 ▲ 0.27%
WTI $66.10 ▼ 1.42%
VIX 14.22 ▼ 3.81%
SOL $182.40 ▲ 3.12%
EURUSD 1.0894 ▲ 0.11%
EVENT CALENDAR · 30 HARI KE DEPAN
Macro Calendar
Hari Tanggal Event Konsensus Bias Gusman
38d
17 Juni 2026
01:00 WIB (18 Jun)
FOMC HIGH IMPACT
FOMC Statement & SEP
Hold 4.25–4.50%
Hold (base case 58%)
CATATAN GUSMAN
Meeting penuh dengan SEP & dot plot. Watch: 2026 dot, longer-run, Powell forward guidance.
32d
CPI HIGH IMPACT
US CPI (May)
Headline 2.7% YoY · Core 3.0%
Headline 2.7% · Core 3.1%
CATATAN GUSMAN
Base effect membantu. Risiko upside di shelter & core services ex-housing.
Set reminder
27d
NFP HIGH IMPACT
Nonfarm Payrolls (May)
+135k · UR 4.1%
+115k · UR 4.2%
CATATAN GUSMAN
Tracking momentum melemah. Watch revision Maret-April yang biasanya negatif.
Set reminder
20d
PCE MED IMPACT
Core PCE (April)
Core PCE 2.8% YoY
Core PCE 2.8%
CATATAN GUSMAN
Fed's preferred. Tidak akan mengubah kalkulus Juni FOMC kecuali surprise > 0.2pp.
Set reminder
26d
ECB MED IMPACT
ECB Rate Decision
Hold 2.25%
Hold; Lagarde dovish
CATATAN GUSMAN
Divergensi ECB vs Fed makin lebar. Implikasi untuk EURUSD.
Set reminder
38d
DATA LOW IMPACT
US Retail Sales (May)
+0.2% MoM
+0.1% MoM
CATATAN GUSMAN
Sinyal konsumen. Auto & gasoline volatile.
Set reminder
BAGAIMANA KAMI MEMBACA EVENT
Setiap event punya distribusi, bukan single point.
Untuk FOMC kami menulis preview lengkap 3–5 hari sebelum meeting. Untuk CPI/NFP kami publikasikan bias 24 jam sebelum rilis. Setelah event, recap dengan honest assessment akurasi.
3–5
HARI PREVIEW
Untuk FOMC